Statistical Research of Influence of Factors on Dynamics of Macroeconomic Indicators of Ex-Member of the Soviet Union

Last 25 years from the moment of the collapse of the USSR have shown that not all countries ex-member of the union, possessing the considerable inherited resources, could realize this potential and to become full-fledged members of global market economy. In this regard it is possible to formulate a research objective which is in identification of influence of factors on GDP per capita that will allow to estimate drift of set of regressors at different stages of development of economy of the Post-Soviet countries. As evidential base long temporary lines are used, act as methods of receiving evidential conclusions: graphic, tabular, coefficient, correlation and regression. As the main results it is possible to call the following: considering set of the Post-Soviet countries, it is divided into three groups on synchronism of dynamics of growth rates (decrease) of GDP and the stable periods of development of economies are allocated; consideration of interrelation between economic factors and GDP per capita on all set of the Post-Soviet countries allows to claim that the set of regressors acts on each stable piece of development, the only thing the indicator which is constantly making negative impact is the agriculture share in GDP; consideration of influence of factors on GDP per capita on each of 15 countries allows to claim that it than more takes place time from the moment of the collapse of the USSR, especially «not similar» are countries, i.e. less the general factors exerting impact on dependent will change; creation of three regression models on the basis of panel data on the stable periods of development of economies allows to approve about existence of strong individual effects and a variation of sets of the operating factors upon transition from one panel to another. The received results will be useful to researchers of macrodynamics to judgment of the happening processes in the former Soviet Union.

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