Climate Change Impact Assessment on the Temporary Transport Infrastructure (in the Case of Logging in the Republic of Karelia)
Abstract
We shed light on Global warming influence on forestry, particularly, on temporary road infrastructure used for logging in winter. The general aim of the paper is to investigate the relationship between the wood removal volumes and timing of winter road operations in the different climate zones of the Republic of Karelia. Our main findings are that 1 day winter road operation increases monthly volume of wood removal by 1485-1746 m3. The volume depends on the type and lifetime versions of winter roads. We have determined the territory that is the most vulnerable to climate warming.
About the Authors
E. A. Prokopyev
Karelian Research Centre of RAS
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Prokopyev Egor A. - Candidate of Economic Sciences, Research Officer, Institute of Economics.
Petrozavodsk
P. A. Ryazantsev
Karelian Research Centre of RAS
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Ryazantsev Pavel A. - Candidate of Geological and Mineralogical Sciences, Senior Researcher, Institute of Geology.
PetrozavodskN. A. Roslyakova
VA. Trapeznikov Institute of Control Sciences of RAS
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Roslyakova Natalya A. – Researcher.
Moscow
References
1. Atlas Karel’skoj ASSR: ucheb.-sprav. kartograf. posobie / redkol.: A.N. Trofimov i [dr.]. M.: Glavnoe upravlenie geodezii i kartografii pri Sovete Ministrov SSSR, 1989. 40 p.
2. Bolotov O.V. Metodologicheskie osnovy planirovanija jekonomicheski jeffektivnogo osvoenija lesov // Lesnoj vestnik. 2013. № 1. P 12-15.
3. Vladimirskij B.M., Martynjuk V.S. Pervoe global’noe poholodanie 21 veka: vozmozhnye geopoliticheskie posledstvija Geopolitika i jekogeodinamika regionov. 2007 Vol. 3. № 1. P 6-14.
4. Kovalev A.P. Lesnye resursy Dal’nego Vostoka, ih ispol’zovanie i vosproizvodstvo // Vestnik IrGSHA. 2015. № 71. P. 59-64.
5. Lukashevich V.M., Shhjogoleva L.V. Metodika planirovanija osvoenija lesnyh resursov s uchetom sezonnosti lesozagotovok // Global’nyj nauchnyj potencial. 2014. № 8. P 134-136.
6. Mel’nik M.A. Nekotorye aspekty transportnoj dostupnosti lesnyh resursov Zapadnoj Sibiri // Interjekspo Geo-Sibir. 2015. Vol. 3. № 4. P 79-83.
7. Monitoring i sohranenie bioraznoobrazija tajozhnyh jekosistem Evropejskogo Severa Rossii / pod obshh. red. PI. Danilova. Petrozavodsk: KarNC RAN, 2o1o. 310 p.
8. Ocenka i upravlenie prirodnymi riskami / pod red. A.L. Ragozina. M.: Izdatel’skaja firma «KRUK», 2003. 320 p.
9. Ocenka transportnogo osvoenija lesnyh resursov s uchetom sezonnosti: metodicheskie ukazanija / L.V Shhjogoleva i [dr.]. Petrozavodsk: Izdatel’stvo PetrGU, 2008. 40 p.
10. Porfir’ev B.N. Priroda i jekonomika: riski vzaimodejstvija. (Jekologo-jekonomicheskie ocherki). M.: Ankil, 2011. 352 p.
11. Porfir’ev B.N. Jekonomicheskie posledstvija katastroficheskogo navodnenija na Dal’nem Vostoke v 2013 g. // Region: jekonomika i sociologija. 2015. № 3. P 257-272.
12. Smolina S.G. Ocenka perspektiv razvitija rechnogo transporta Rossii na osnove prognoza izmenenij stoka i morfodinamiki gidroseti vsledstvie global’nogo poteplenija klimata // Trudy Instituta sistemnogo analiza Rossijskoj akademii nauk. 2009. Vol. 42. P 220-237
13. Scenarnyj prognoz razvitija Severnogo morskogo puti / N.I. Komkov i [dr.] // Problemy prognozirovanija. 2016. № 2. P 87-98.
14. Chugunkova A.V. Issledovanie vlijanija global’nogo izmenenija klimata na potencial’nuju prodolzhitel’nost’ lesozagotovitel’nogo sezona // Issledovanija molodyh uchjonyh: jekonomicheskaja teorija, sociologija, otraslevaja i regional’naja jekonomika. 2016. P 297-301.
15. Shegel’man I.R., Lukashevich V.M. Ocenka sezonnosti pri podgotovke lesozago¬tovitel’nogo proizvodstva // Fundamental’nye issledovanija. 2011. № 12-3. P 599-603.
16. Shegel’man I.R., Shhegoleva L.V, Lukashevich V.M. Obosnovanie perioda jekspluatacii zimnih lesovoznyh dorog // Izvestija vysshih uchebnyh zavedenij. Lesnoj zhurnal. 2007. № 2. P. 54-57.
17. Jakusheva T.V. Kompleksnaja ocenka dostupnosti lesnyh resursov s uchetom razvitija lesnoj transportnoj infrastruktury na territorii Severo-Zapadnogo Federal’nogo okruga // Izvestija vysshih uchebnyh zavedenij. Lesnoj zhurnal. 2014. № 5. P 113-117.
18. Mullan D.et al. Climate change and the long-term viability of the World’s busiest heavy haul ice road // Theoretical and Applied Climatology. 2017. Vol. 129. № 3-4. P 1089-1108.
19. Goltsev V, Lopatin E. The impact of climate change on the technical accessibility of forests in the Tikhvin District of the Leningrad Region of Russia // International Journal of Forest Engineering. 2013. 24:2. P 148-160.
20. Prowse T.D. et al. Implications of Climate Change for Economic Development in Northern Canada: Energy, Resource, and Transportation Sectors // AMBIO: A Journal of the Human Environment. 2009. Vol. 38. № 5. P 272-281.
21. Lonergan S., Di Francesco R., Woo M. Climate Change and Transportation in Northern Canada: An Integrated Impact Assessment // Climatic Change. 1993. Vol. 24. P 331-351.
22. Love G., Soares A., Puempel H. Climate Change, Climate Variability and Transporta¬tion // Procedia Environmental Sciences. 2010. Vol. 1. P 130-145.
23. Travis WR. Weather and climate extremes: Pacemakers of adaptation? // Weather and Climate Extremes. 2014. Vol. 5-6. P. 29-39.
24. Vtoroj ocenochnyj doklad Rosgidrometa ob izmenenijah klimata i ih posledstvijah na territorii Rossijskoj Federacii. [Jelektronnyj resurs] / Federal’naja sluzhba po gidrometeorologii i monitoringu okruzhajushhej sredy (ROSGIDROMET). 2014. URL: http://cc.voeikovmgo.ru/images/dokumenty/2016/od2/od2.pdf, svobodnyj. Zagl. s jekrana. Jaz. rus. (data obrashhenija: 15.03.2017).
25. Karta-shema arendatorov lesnogo fonda Karelii 2013. [Jelektronnyj resurs] / Lesnoj portal Karelii. URL: http://www.forest-karelia.ru/?id=771, svobodnyj. Zagl. s jekrana. Jaz. rus. (data obrashhenija: 25.04.2017).
26. Kirkup K. Climate Change Impacting Vital Winter Roads For First Nations. [Jelektronnyj resurs] / HUFFPOST. URL: http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2016/01/03/dimate-change-affecting-vital-winter-roads-for-first-nations-leaders_n_8907798.html, svobodnyj. Zagl. s jekrana. Jaz. angl. (data obrashhenija: 15.02.2017).
27. Rio Tinto. 2006. Sustainable development review. [Jelektronnyj resurs] / UAB. URL: http://ddd.uab.cat/pub/infsos/44484/isRIOTINTOa2006 ieng.pdf, vobodnyj. Zagl. s jekrana. Jaz. angl. (data obrashhenija: 10.03.2017).
28. Sawyer D. The Economic Implications of Climate Change on Transportation Assets: An analysis framework August 2014. [Jelektronnyj resurs] / International Institute for Sustainable Development. URL: http://www.iisd.org/sites/default/files/publications/climate_change_transportation_assets.pdf, svobodnyj. Zagl. s jekrana. Jaz. angl. (data obrashhenija: 15.02.2017).
29. Stern N. Stern review: The Economics of Climate Change. [Jelektronnyj resurs] / HM TREASURY. 2006. URL: http://library.uniteddiversity.coop/Climate_Change/Stern_Report-Economics_of_Climate_Change.pdf, svobodnyj. Zagl. s jekrana. Jaz. angl. (data obrashhenija: 15.03.2017).
30. Taylor S., Parry J.-E. Enhancing the Resilience of Manitoba’s Winter Roads System. [Jelektronnyj resurs] / International Institute for Sustainable Development. 2014. URL: http://www.iisd.org/sites/default/files/publications/winter_roads.pdf, svobodnyj. Zagl. s jekrana. Jaz. angl. (data obrashhenija: 15.02.2017).
31. Transportation & Climate Change in Manitoba Proceedings. [Jelektronnyj resurs] / University of Manitoba Transport Institute. 2003. URL: http://umanitoba.ca/faculties/management/ti/media/docs/climate.pdf, svobodnyj. Zagl. s jekrana. Jaz. angl. (data obrashhenija: 15.02.2017).
Review
For citations:
Prokopyev E.A., Ryazantsev P.A., Roslyakova N.A. Climate Change Impact Assessment on the Temporary Transport Infrastructure (in the Case of Logging in the Republic of Karelia). Vestnik NSUEM. 2018;(2):108-122. (In Russ.)
Email this article 
