FORECAST AND FORESIGHT: TWO FUTURE PARADIGMS METHODOLOGICAL ASPECT
Abstract
The paper provides an analysis of the foundations of modern forecasting and foresight. Provides several options for comparing the practices of forecasting and foresight practices. Introduced the concept of two paradigms of understanding and comprehension of the phenomenon of the future – a classic naturalistic, based on the normative forecast, and nonclassical based on foresight. A list of the first lessons to be learned from the practice of foresight when working on the construction of images of the future, analysis and diagnostics development trends.
About the Author
S. A. Smirnov
Novosibirsk State University of Economics and Management
Russian Federation
Doctor of Philosophy, Professor
Russian Federation
Doctor of Philosophy, Professor
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Review
For citations:
Smirnov S.A. FORECAST AND FORESIGHT: TWO FUTURE PARADIGMS METHODOLOGICAL ASPECT. Vestnik NSUEM. 2015;(2):27-45. (In Russ.)
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