Mathematical Model of Water Level Dependence in the Ob River from the Discharge of Water to Hydroelectric Power Station
https://doi.org/10.34020/2073-6495-2020-2-177-182
Abstract
The dependence of the average water level in the Ob River at the Novosibirsk water post on the discharge rate to a hydroelectric power station is being investigated. The stochastic approach is used to model this dependence. As a result of the analysis of an array of statistical data a two-component mathematical model has been obtained. The simultaneous use of the Probit probability determination model and the construction of a regression straight line result in a nonlinear relationship between the water level and the discharge rate, which allows for a more accurate flood forecast.
About the Authors
A. V. Logachov
Novosibirsk State University of Economics and Management; Siberian State University of Geosystems and Technologies
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Logachov Artyem V., Candidate of Physical and Mathematical Sciences, Associate Professor
Novosibirsk
O. M. Logachova
Novosibirsk State University of Economics and Management; Siberian State University of Geosystems and Technologies
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Logachova Olga M., Candidate of Physical and Mathematical Sciences, Associate Professor
Novosibirsk
P. A. Karpik
Novosibirsk State University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Karpik Pavel A., Student
Novosibirsk
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Review
For citations:
Logachov A.V., Logachova O.M., Karpik P.A. Mathematical Model of Water Level Dependence in the Ob River from the Discharge of Water to Hydroelectric Power Station. Vestnik NSUEM. 2020;(2):177-182. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.34020/2073-6495-2020-2-177-182
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