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Directions for improving methodological recommendations for the elaboration of strategies for socio-economic development of municipalities of the Russian Federation

https://doi.org/10.34020/2073-6495-2022-3-048-064

Abstract

The article analyzes the current methodological recommendations for the development of strategies for the socio-economic development of municipalities in the Russian Federation, and suggests ways to improve the methodological recommendations. The conditionality of the scenario conditions of development by the conducted strategic analysis of external and internal factors of development is shown. The relationship is reflected on the example of scenario conditions for the development of the municipality – the city of Berdsk, Novosibirsk Region. It is shown that the use of models for forecasting calculations ensures the balance of the forecast values of the main indicators of the development of the municipality. It is noted that the forecast of cost indicators is rarely correct due to the poor predictability of inflationary processes. Structural indicators are more stable. It is these indicators that should be recommended as the main ones for the strategies of socio-economic development of territories.

About the Authors

G. V. Zhdan
Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering of Siberian Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences
Russian Federation

Zhdan Galina V.  – Candidate of Economic Sciences, Senior Researcher, Center for Strategic Analysis and Planning

Novosibirsk 



T. V. Sumskaya
Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering of Siberian Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences; Novosibirsk State University of Economics and Management
Russian Federation

 Sumskaya Tatiana V.  – Candidate of Economic Sciences, Senior Researcher, Department of Territorial Systems; Associate Professor, Department of Statistics,

Novosibirsk 



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Review

For citations:


Zhdan G.V., Sumskaya T.V. Directions for improving methodological recommendations for the elaboration of strategies for socio-economic development of municipalities of the Russian Federation. Vestnik NSUEM. 2022;(3):48-64. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.34020/2073-6495-2022-3-048-064



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ISSN 2073-6495 (Print)