STATISTICS AND ECONOMIC DIMENSION
The article considers the pressing issues of application studies of time series. Modern tools of processing of one-dimensional series are adjusted. The simultaneity analysis issues of time series as well as the basics of examination and forecasting of latent cointegration relations are discussed. The multifactor model building method of movement of real investments into fixed capital index (fixed capital is based on casual relations) is discussed. The calculation data on the real aggregates is presented.
been used by Western companies since 1950s. It has been finding more and more application in the Russian practice in recent years. The portfolio analysis is the tool by virtue of which the company management evaluates different types of production and lines of business activity for the purpose of determination the most effective ones on the basis of application of specifically elaborated normative strategies. Qualitative accomplishment of all portfolio analysis stages permits to identify strategic units and follow-up market positioning; define their development prospects of strategic units and the input in company corporate portfolio. The advantages of the portfolio analysis are compact and visual image of positions and business challenges; simplicity and availability; the emphasis on the qualitative parts of the analysis; capability of immediate implementation of the results. The article takes a sh at the generalization of the recent years’ research results in the portfolio analysis. The emphasis is on the following: authors’ position concerning place and time of birth of the conceptual content of the method is outlined; poorly discussed statistical issues of the most popular models of the portfolio analysis are considered; elaborated and approved modifications of some matrices are introduced.
The article takes a shot at the generalization of the research results in the general aggregates typology; new classific viewpoints of general aggregates (dynamic and threshold) are considered; generally accepted criteria of forming of threshold aggregates are adjusted, additional criteria are suggested; the problem was formulated and evaluations, adjusting threshold values, were made using actual data. The official figures of government statistics were used as the data base.
Рассматриваются подходы и методики оценки качества выборочного обследования. Обсуждаются достоинства и недостатки методики рейтинговой оценки качества (РОК) обследований. Предлагается новая методика расчета итоговой оценки качества выборочного обследования. Обсуждаются преимущества предлагаемой методики и ее апробация на конкретном выборочном обследовании населения.
SOCIETY AND ECONOMY: PROBLEMS OF DEVELOPMENT
Base characteristics of the regional inequality in modern Russian society are considered. Key parameters of estimation of level of socioeconomic development of regions are presented. Index of human potential development and its components is introduced. Link between regional inequality and economic growth of regions is detected.
The article brings the issues of educational human migration. Main migration flows of educational migrators into leading countries for the purpose of attraction of foreign students are analyzed. Administrative, legal and socioeconomic mechanisms of attraction of educational migrators are emphasized. Recommendations towards the migration policy making for the purpose of attraction of educational migrators into the Russian Federation are given.
The article analyzes the issue of detection and diagnostics of basic anthropological trends that are experienced by modern individual. Anthropological trends are mass recurring practices that are made by an individual by virtue of which one experiences irreversible radical change. The author introduces the concept of pharmaceutical anthropological trends showing bipolarity of trends influence on individual, as well as their inconsistency. The scientific metaphor of pharmaceutics of culture is introduced to indicate that the trend can be used in two ways, like any medicine – for a negative and killing change, and for its transformation and new birth.
The necessity for the multidisciplinary research of reproduction (socio-cultural and demographic) of people in Sakha Republic (Yakutia) in the external (outer civilization) conditions is proved. Basic models and concepts for investigation of these processes are proposed. The necessity and the concept of Foresight of Sakha Republic (Yakutia), as a socio-constructive action, aimed at the formation of «vision of the future» in the long term the time horizon of two generations, are proved and introduced. The vision of the future includes: basic trends of changes in economics, demography, culture; possible critical situations, the field of possible scenarios and roadmap for movement into the future. The project results will form the basis of cultural and socio-economic policies that will ensure the reproduction of culture and languages of the Sakha Republic (Yakutia), their full integration into modern civilization processes.
The article presents the results of the investigation between judicial bodies and mass media. The investigation was conducted on the basis of materials of the Arbitration Court. The results, features, issues, principles and interaction trends between arbitration courts and mass media are examined.
FACTS, APPRAISALS, PERSPECTIVES
The article considers the key issues of forming of methods of stability assessment of universities in modern Russia; main activity spheres of higher educational institutions are defined; five-level hierarchic structure of economic stability index system is suggested; logic scheme of this system construction is presented. Calculation algorithms of the key parameters of stability management are introduced, their threshold values in the system of resumptive integral indices are set.
The article presents detailed characteristics of the population dynamics of Priobye regions in the 20th century. There are excursions into various periods of the demographic history of Western Siberia. The analysis of regional specific features of population in Southern, Middle and Northern Priobye on the basis of census material as of 1926, 1939, 1959, 1970, 1979, 1989,2002, 2010. The issues of comparability of census material of the 20th century in Russia with the general census of population in Russian Empire in 1897 are raised.
Regularities and trends in the development of small and medium-sized enterprises as well as individual entrepreneurs are considered. The analysis of economic activity of business organizations is introduced. Distribution models of the average labour force in small, mediumsized enterprises and entrepreneurs are presented. The possibility of using of production functions as tools of the entrepreneurial business analysis is pointed out. Conclusions on similarities and differences of the analyzed business organizations are made.
The paper justifies the choice of socioeconomic parameters used for the analysis of the level of development of municipal formations (districts) in Novosibirsk Region. 30 districts are divided into 5 groups with multivariate statistical methods. Calculations were made for 2005 and 2009. Official figures of government statistics were used as a data base.
FINANCE, ACCOUNTING AND ANALYSIS
The article is devoted to the methodological approach to the evaluation of the effectiveness of venture-backed innovative projects from the venture fund’s position using real option’s method. Suggested approach is tested on the real venture-backed innovative project.
The issues of results interpretation of the financial reporting analysis, reflecting contradictions between the formed image about specified parameters of financial situations and real abilities of organizations to prove solvency, financial stability, are considered. The author’s approach to the explanation of results of the financial reporting analysis is revealed. It makes it possible to overcome the given contradictions and define the development prospects of the financial analysis and financial management
The approach to risk division, invariant concerning the insurance type and the form of risk division is formulated. The numerical algorithm of determination of the insurance premium taking into account the risk division under the insurance contract on the generalized actuarial basis is offered. The applicability of the algorithm for accounting in the insurance premium of such forms of risk division as the conditional and unconditional franchise, proportional and disproportionate reinsurance, incomplete property insurance by means of computer simulation is established.
The article presents the author’s view on the modern state of current approaches and management procedures of the financial inability level. Financial risks and their multilevel classification are considered. Vertical and horizontal interrelations of each level of the classification system are analyzed. Specific financial risks with the follow-up examples are shown. Dependence of the risk level on the financial situation measures is proved. The critical analysis of the financial inability prediction models on the basis of foreign and domestic sources is carried out.
The article analyzes trends in the world and Russian M&A (mergers and acquisitions) markets. Reasons for failure in mergers and acquisitions are explored. Creation and growth factors of business value in the integration process are examined. Particular attention is paid to the purposes and characteristics of integration strategies, as well as sources of operational and financial synergy. Performance measurements of mergers and acquisitions deals are suggested. Use of these measurements permits to make management decisions that increase the value of a merged company as well as its competitiveness.
Credit risk management issues in production facilities become particularly relevant in the conditions of the economic instability and expectation of the «second wave» of the world financial crisis. The authors present the techniques of new and regular counterparty credit risk evaluation in the real economy.
BUSINESS INFORMATICS
The article analyzes such payment services as DotPay, Przelewy24, eCard, PayU, Transferuj.pl. BlueCash, Platnosci.pl and their features. Various methods of payment and credit card types are listed. The attention to the development of payments in electronic government is pointed out.
The article presents the results of the research of the students’ information needs at three Novosibirsk universities. The research includes the survey of the students of the distance education.
Opportunities of students’ access to information, their preferences regarding types of information editions and technologies of supplying information are evaluated. Existing restrictions and obstacles are revealed. The list of measures of improvement of the quality of the information support is defined. Basic directions of improvement of libraries activities of the higher educational institutions using distant learning technologies of training are defined.
THEORETICAL SEARCH AND OFFERS
The article analyzes some macrosociological, microsociological and integrative paradigms of sociology. The peculiarities of integrative paradigms are revealed. The necessity for further expansion of polyparadigm space of sociology is proved. Warnings against the exegetical theories that restrain the possibility of polyparadigm are considered.
Liquidity crises prove economic agents that are capable of adequate liquidity risk management usually run their business effectively. The article considers the management of instant, current and long-term liquidity of a commercial bank. The offered method includes a procedure for calculation of instant and current liquidity based on the commercial bank cash flow analysis.
The article proves the necessity for the economic diagnostics in the assessment of social meals system. The social meals sector faces pressing issues with the reliability of databases used for decision making, which makes insufficient the use of classic analytic tools. The proposed approach solves the issue of identifying the diagnosis and makes it possible to generate a set of measures that eliminate the identified issues in the functioning of the system.
The paper presents the history of the formation and development of the central bank of Mongolia. The research results of Mongolian economists regarding the monetary policy are listed. The main objectives of other countries’ monetary policies are considered. Advantages and disadvantages of targeting regimes of monetary policy are revealed. The optimal targeting regime of the monetary policy for Mongolia is discussed.
The article considers the approach to the system of quality evaluation of accounting information considering a hierarchical relation between qualitative characteristics of accounting information. The quantitative estimation indices of accounting information are suggested. These indices make possible to measure the accounting information utility, and, in future, develop the complex of measures on perfection of procedure of forming of accounting information.
The article takes a shot at the evaluation of several aspects of the credit mechanism of foreign economic activity in Russia. Methods and tools of financing of imports are considered. A comparative analysis was carried out.
The article considers the issue of the analysis of expenses impact of advertising of industrial products on companies profitability in real markets depending on the measure of structural concentration of sellers. Generalizations regarding the interrelation between advertising costs and companies profitability with provision for other crucial market determinants were obtained under the assumptions not contradicting the observed empiric reality and the analysis of the solution of first-order equations.