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No 1 (2012)

STATISTICS AND ECONOMIC DIMENSION

10-24
Abstract

The article considers the pressing issues of application studies of time series. Modern tools of processing of one-dimensional series are adjusted. The simultaneity  analysis issues of time series as well as the basics of examination and forecasting of latent cointegration relations  are discussed. The multifactor model building method  of movement of real investments into fixed capital index (fixed capital is based on casual relations) is discussed. The calculation  data on the real aggregates  is presented.

25-53
Abstract

been  used  by Western  companies  since  1950s. It  has  been  finding  more  and  more application in the Russian practice in recent years. The portfolio  analysis is the tool by virtue of which  the  company  management evaluates  different  types  of production and  lines  of business  activity for the  purpose  of determination the  most  effective  ones  on the  basis of application of specifically elaborated normative strategies. Qualitative accomplishment of all portfolio  analysis stages permits  to identify strategic  units and follow-up market  positioning; define  their  development prospects  of strategic  units  and  the  input  in company  corporate portfolio. The advantages of the portfolio  analysis are compact  and visual image of positions and  business  challenges;  simplicity  and  availability;  the  emphasis  on  the  qualitative parts of the analysis; capability of immediate implementation of the results. The article takes a sh at the generalization of the recent years’ research results in the portfolio analysis. The emphasis is on the following: authors’ position concerning place and time of birth of the conceptual content of the method is outlined; poorly discussed statistical issues of the most popular models of the portfolio analysis are considered; elaborated and approved modifications of some matrices are introduced.

54-60
Abstract

The article takes a shot at the generalization of the research results in the general aggregates  typology; new classific viewpoints of general aggregates (dynamic and threshold) are considered; generally accepted criteria of forming of threshold aggregates are adjusted, additional criteria are suggested; the problem was formulated and evaluations, adjusting threshold  values, were made using actual data. The official figures of government statistics were used as  the data base.

61-71
Abstract

Рассматриваются подходы и методики оценки качества выборочного обследования. Обсуждаются достоинства и недостатки методики рейтинговой оценки качества (РОК) обследований. Предлагается новая методика расчета итоговой оценки качества выборочного обследования. Обсуждаются преимущества предлагаемой методики и ее апробация на конкретном выборочном обследовании населения.

SOCIETY AND ECONOMY: PROBLEMS OF DEVELOPMENT

72-77
Abstract

Base characteristics of the regional inequality in modern Russian society are considered. Key parameters of estimation of level of socioeconomic development of regions are presented. Index of human potential development and its components is introduced. Link between  regional inequality and economic growth of regions is detected.

78-87
Abstract

The article brings the issues of educational human migration. Main migration flows of educational migrators into leading countries for the purpose of attraction of foreign students are analyzed. Administrative, legal and socioeconomic mechanisms of attraction of educational migrators are emphasized. Recommendations towards the migration policy making for  the purpose of attraction of educational migrators into the Russian Federation are given.

88-104
Abstract

The article analyzes the issue of detection and diagnostics of basic anthropological trends that are experienced by modern individual. Anthropological trends are mass recurring practices that are made by an individual by virtue of which one experiences irreversible radical  change. The author introduces the concept of pharmaceutical anthropological trends showing bipolarity of trends influence on individual,  as well as their inconsistency. The scientific metaphor of pharmaceutics of culture is introduced to indicate that the trend can be used in two ways, like any medicine – for a negative and killing change, and for its transformation and new birth.

105-123
Abstract

The necessity for the multidisciplinary research of reproduction (socio-cultural and demographic) of people in Sakha Republic (Yakutia) in the external (outer civilization) conditions  is proved. Basic models and concepts for investigation of these processes are proposed. The  necessity and the concept of Foresight of Sakha Republic (Yakutia),  as a socio-constructive action, aimed at the formation of «vision of the future» in the long term the time horizon of two generations, are proved and introduced. The vision of the future includes: basic trends of changes in economics, demography, culture; possible critical situations, the field of possible  scenarios and roadmap for movement into the future. The project results will form the basis of cultural and socio-economic policies that will  ensure the reproduction of culture and languages of the Sakha Republic (Yakutia), their full integration into modern civilization processes.

124-131
Abstract

The article presents the results of the investigation between judicial bodies and mass media. The investigation was conducted on the basis of materials of the Arbitration Court. The  results, features, issues, principles and interaction trends between arbitration courts and mass  media are examined.

FACTS, APPRAISALS, PERSPECTIVES

132-140
Abstract

The article considers the key issues of forming of methods of stability assessment of universities in modern Russia; main activity spheres of higher educational institutions are defined; five-level hierarchic structure of economic stability index system is suggested; logic scheme of this system construction is presented. Calculation algorithms of the key parameters of stability management are introduced, their threshold values in the system of resumptive integral indices are set.

141-154
Abstract

 The article presents detailed characteristics of the population dynamics of Priobye regions in the  20th century. There are  excursions into  various periods of the  demographic history of Western Siberia. The  analysis  of regional specific  features of population in Southern, Middle and  Northern Priobye on the  basis of census  material as of 1926, 1939, 1959, 1970, 1979, 1989,2002, 2010. The  issues  of comparability of census  material of the  20th  century in Russia with the general census  of population in Russian Empire in 1897 are raised.

155-164
Abstract

Regularities and  trends in  the  development of  small  and  medium-sized enterprises as well as individual entrepreneurs are considered. The analysis  of economic activity  of business organizations is introduced. Distribution models of the average labour force in small, mediumsized  enterprises and  entrepreneurs are  presented. The  possibility of  using  of  production functions as  tools  of  the  entrepreneurial  business analysis  is pointed out.  Conclusions on similarities and differences of the analyzed business organizations are made.

165-173
Abstract

The  paper justifies  the  choice  of socioeconomic parameters used  for the  analysis  of the level  of development of municipal formations (districts) in Novosibirsk Region. 30 districts are  divided into  5 groups with  multivariate statistical methods. Calculations were  made for 2005 and 2009. Official figures  of government statistics were  used as a data  base.

FINANCE, ACCOUNTING AND ANALYSIS

174-180
Abstract

The article is devoted  to the methodological approach to the evaluation of the effectiveness of venture-backed innovative  projects  from the  venture  fund’s position  using real option’s method. Suggested approach is tested on the real venture-backed innovative  project.

181-187
Abstract

The issues of results interpretation of the financial reporting analysis, reflecting contradictions  between the  formed image  about specified parameters of financial situations and  real abilities of organizations to  prove solvency, financial stability, are  considered. The  author’s approach to the explanation of results of the financial reporting analysis  is revealed. It makes it possible to overcome  the given contradictions and define the development prospects  of the financial analysis and financial management

188-196
Abstract

The approach to risk division, invariant concerning the insurance type and the form of risk division is formulated. The numerical  algorithm  of determination of the insurance  premium taking into account the risk division under the insurance  contract  on the generalized actuarial basis is offered. The applicability of the algorithm  for accounting in the insurance  premium  of such forms of risk division as the conditional and unconditional franchise, proportional and disproportionate reinsurance, incomplete property insurance  by means of computer simulation is established.

197-206
Abstract

The  article presents the  author’s view  on  the  modern state of current approaches and management procedures of the  financial inability level.  Financial risks  and  their multilevel classification  are considered. Vertical  and horizontal interrelations of each level of the classification system are analyzed. Specific financial risks with the follow-up examples are shown. Dependence of the risk level on the financial situation  measures  is proved. The critical analysis of the financial inability prediction models on the basis of foreign and domestic sources is carried out.

207-218
Abstract

The  article analyzes trends in the  world  and  Russian M&A (mergers and  acquisitions) markets. Reasons for failure in mergers and  acquisitions are  explored. Creation and  growth factors of business value  in the  integration process are  examined. Particular attention is paid to the  purposes and  characteristics of integration strategies, as well as sources of operational and  financial synergy. Performance measurements of mergers and  acquisitions deals  are  suggested. Use  of these measurements permits to make management decisions that  increase the value  of a merged company as well as its competitiveness.

219-229
Abstract

Credit risk  management issues  in production facilities become particularly relevant in the conditions of the economic instability and expectation of the «second wave» of the world financial crisis. The authors present the techniques of new and regular counterparty credit risk evaluation in the real economy.

BUSINESS INFORMATICS

230-235
Abstract

The  article analyzes such  payment services  as DotPay, Przelewy24, eCard, PayU, Transferuj.pl. BlueCash, Platnosci.pl and  their features. Various methods of payment and  credit card types  are listed. The attention to the development of payments in electronic government is pointed out.

236-246
Abstract

The article presents the results of the research of the students’ information needs at three Novosibirsk universities. The research includes the survey  of the students of the distance education.

Opportunities of students’ access to information, their preferences regarding types  of information editions and  technologies of supplying information are evaluated. Existing restrictions  and  obstacles are  revealed. The  list of measures of improvement of the  quality of the information support is defined. Basic  directions of improvement of libraries activities of the higher educational institutions using distant learning technologies of training are defined.

THEORETICAL SEARCH AND OFFERS

247-263
Abstract

The article analyzes some macrosociological, microsociological and integrative paradigms of sociology. The peculiarities of integrative paradigms are revealed. The necessity for further expansion of polyparadigm space of sociology is proved. Warnings against the exegetical theories that  restrain the possibility of polyparadigm are considered.

264-273
Abstract

Liquidity crises  prove economic agents that  are  capable of adequate liquidity risk  management usually  run  their business effectively. The  article considers the  management of instant, current and  long-term liquidity of a commercial bank. The  offered method includes a procedure for calculation of instant and  current liquidity based on the commercial bank cash flow analysis.

274-281
Abstract

The  article proves the  necessity for the  economic diagnostics in the  assessment of social meals  system. The  social  meals  sector faces  pressing issues  with  the  reliability of databases used  for decision making, which  makes insufficient the  use of classic analytic tools. The  proposed approach solves the issue of identifying the diagnosis and makes it possible to generate a set of measures that  eliminate the identified issues in the functioning of the system.

282-290
Abstract

The  paper presents the  history of the  formation and  development of the  central bank of Mongolia. The  research results of Mongolian economists regarding the  monetary policy  are listed. The  main  objectives of other countries’ monetary policies are  considered. Advantages and disadvantages of targeting regimes of monetary policy are revealed. The optimal targeting regime of the monetary policy for Mongolia is discussed.

291-297
Abstract

The  article considers the  approach to the  system  of quality evaluation of accounting information considering a hierarchical relation between qualitative characteristics of accounting information. The quantitative estimation indices  of accounting information are suggested. These indices  make possible to  measure the  accounting information utility,  and,  in future, develop the complex of measures on perfection of procedure of forming of accounting information.

298-303
Abstract

The  article takes a shot  at the  evaluation of several aspects of the  credit mechanism of foreign economic activity  in Russia. Methods and tools of financing of imports are considered. A comparative analysis  was carried out.

304-312
Abstract

The  article considers the  issue of the  analysis  of expenses impact of advertising of industrial  products on companies profitability in real  markets depending on the  measure of structural concentration of sellers. Generalizations regarding the interrelation between  advertising costs and companies  profitability with provision  for other  crucial market  determinants were obtained under the assumptions  not contradicting the observed  empiric reality and the analysis of the solution of first-order equations.



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ISSN 2073-6495 (Print)