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No 4 (2014)

ECONOMICS AND HUMAN RESOURCES MANAGEMENT

10-17
Abstract

The article  presents  the results of the analysis of dynamics of demographic potential ofNovosibirskregion in 2002–2010. The value of demographic potential is defined; specifics of its labor and reproduction structure are examined.  Factor  analysis of demographic potential is carried  out; impact  of increase  of life expectancy  of population and changes in population size and composition  by gender  and age on its increment is revealed.  Recommendations for various  target  groups (regulatory bodies  of various  levels, employers, health  care system, mass media)  are made  to provide  and maintain  sustained  growth  of biotic potential of the region.

18-26
Abstract

In article the problem  of workplaces  formation appeal considered as important social and economic task. It is shown that quality of workplaces  is significant competitive advantage of the organization, but the quality is based on a combination of interests  of worker and employer. Analyzing behavior  of each of the parties  of the labor relations,  the author comes to a conclusion  that  the main characteristics of appeal  of workplaces  have to be considered at a stage of their design. The qualitative characteristics of a workplace  representing the greatest  interest both for the worker, and for the applicant  from a position  of implementation of requirements to quality  of the labor life are considered. Questions of economic  efficiency competitive workplaces  formation, decrease  in losses from long stay of workplaces  as vacant are considered that demands  creation  of the corresponding information base. Appeal of a workplace is closely  connected with  satisfaction of the  worker doing his job. Need of the organization of sociological maintenance, both procedure of hiring of new workers, and the subsequent their work on a workplace  is shown.

27-34
Abstract

Article  is devoted  to a perspective which relevance  is caused  by a complex  of the interconnected circumstances: positioning  of the personnel as a key resource  of any enterprise; large-scale introduction of competence-based approach in a personnel management system; recognition of competence of the worker  the dominating parameter of its competitiveness;  lack of the methodical tools adequate to the changing managing  conditions. The  purpose of writing  of article consisted: in justification of conceptual approaches to management of competitiveness of the personnel of the organization in the conditions  of realization of competence-based approach; in development on their  basis of profile  me thodical tools. It is lawful  to refer to the  main  teoretiko-methodological results presented in work:  introduction to  a scientific turn  of the  terms «competence-based competitiveness  of the  worker» and  «functional and  competence-based category»; development of a standard format of matrix model of professional competences of the  employee of the organization in the  conditions of accumulation of functional flexibility of labor. Respectively, to methodical results: the  methodical approach to differentiation of the  personnel on functional and  competence-based categories which  is based on idea  of cooperation of professional competences, and a technique of an assessment of level of competence-based competitiveness of the  worker. In article on conditional examples use of the  offered techniques is illustrated; the attention on their adequacy to the mission  confirmed with results of successful pilot approbation is in summary focused.

35-46
Abstract

The  fields developed by the  enterprises of an oil and  gas complex ofWestern Siberiawere  put  into  commercial operation several decades ago. Labor collectives were  formed by the Soviet  principle, by issue of Komsomol permits. The modern terms of managing are dictated need of the  accelerated transition of oil and  gas extraction production to an innovative way of development. In this regard character and  the  content of work  in branch change, requirements to quality of human resources raise. It puts in the forefront the most important economic problem of reproduction of workers of new generation. Considerable reduction of a manpower of oil and  gas extraction regions is aggravated by problems of updating  of shots, increases  of their  professional level and improvement of all system of reproduction.

STATISTICS AND ECONOMIC DIMENSION

47-59
Abstract

The  statistical grouping the  results of primary observations, discussed in this  article, suggests that the researcher has some idea about  the number  of typological  or structural positions, layers. Conclusion  on the number  of types of images or structural layers to be based on the extent to which the total variance explained by the so-called tag levels variation  of the  Intergroup (interclass). A structural position, providing maximum cross-group variance is a «structural manner» of many  observations. The  degree of accuracy of the structural display  is set  to  the  number of structural positions. The  concept of structural image  of the  investigated range of observations of this article is also  applicable to pools, under the authority of the known strict  laws of probability distributions.

Describes the  optimal division  of statistical set of observations by the  given  number of classes, groups, depending on the type  of probability distribution functions. Defines the sustainable optimal grouping for  uniform, normal, exponential and  log-normal distribution laws. The possibility of application of stable structures (structural images) as a potential function to determine the type of probability distributions to statistical aggregates with unknown law of distribution.

60-80
Abstract

The article presents  the algorithm  of a numerical  method  of calculation  of insurance rates  based  on the  concept  of generalized actuarial  basis, according  to which there  are no differences  between  actuarial  conditions  of life insurance  contracts  and  contracts  of general insurance. This algorithm  for a typical insurance  risks for both classes of contracts executed  the calculation  of insurance  rates. For each dataset, the calculation  is repeated 10 times, the result was averaged,  calculated  the coefficient  of variation  and the average result was compared with rate value according  to the standard methods  of calculation.  It is shown  that  with the  increasing number of simulated insurance portfolios is reduced as the  variation of the  obtained values  and  the  relative deviation obtained insurance tariff from  the tariff  according to standard methods. Also  it is shown  that  the approximation by a normal distribution in most cases allows you to get a closer value of the insurance rate  to the value  by the standard method.

81-87
Abstract

Economic development of the Russian Federation has been raw oriented for decades. The article examines possibilities of innovative economic development rather than  raw; results of dimensional and dynamic analysis  of scientific and innovative potential of regions ofRussiaare considered. Scientific and innovative potential index  system  is offered. Analysis of structure and dynamics of employed  population by educational level, by categories inRussiafor 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010-2012 is carried out, structural disparities between these indicators  inRussiaand federal  districts are revealed.  Dimensional and dynamic analysis of used  advanced  production technologies and  output of innovative  products  is carried out. Government statistics data is used as a data base.

88-100
Abstract

The paper discusses the issues of application of statistical methods of periodization in time  series. A review  of modern state of studies in this field of statistical science  is given. An attempt to define content of periodization of historic series  is made, authors classification of existing  methods of periodization (accurate and approximate, some  can be applied to one-dimensional arrays, while other can be extended to multivariate time series) is presented. Application of each method  is illustrated on historic series of social and economic indicators ofRussia, in particular, dynamics of profit, annual average fixed assets value, rail freight turnover, import  is examined. Analytic  table comprising main methods  of periodization  of time series is formed, positive  and negative  aspects  of the given methods  with their possibilities and limitations  are discussed.

101-115
Abstract

The  article considers impacts of changes in structure of crop  area  on yield  change in the  context of fruitful and  unfruitful years,  difference between these indices  is analyzed; conversion of Durbin-Watts criterion for comparison of their values  with  correlation coefficient of the  first  order in relation to their time-to-time variability at characteristic of interrelation between chain  absolute yield  increment is offered; variant of expansion of correlation coefficient,  characterizing interrelations between  chain absolute  yield increment between  regions, by separate components related  to trend and weather  fluctuations, is offered; simultaneity  in yield fluctuations in relation  to weather  conditions  and dynamics of the most unfruitful  years are analyzed; relationship between  yield and net cost is examined.

tations  are discussed.

 

116-127
Abstract

Realization of a course of modernization in the  country is impossible without formation  of a hi-tech business sector of economy in all federal districts. Effective management demands correct monitoring of a condition of subjects of commercialization of innovative ideas. In article solutions of a task of an assessment of tendencies in development of small business on the basis of statistical comparison of a set of indicators are offered. The developed static  and  dynamic indicators allow  to identify business functioning in the  concrete federal district against the all-Russian results.

FINANCE, ACCOUNTING AND ANALYSIS

128-136
Abstract

The article deals with the banking system ofIran, made a more detailed analysis, based on the classification  of banks – participants of the internal market  of credit resources.  In particular, indicators  of banks’ assets, assess the adequacy  of coverage obligations, we consider a system of quality control assessment, work with different  types of risks. The authors noted  the specific situation  in which the state  banks wereIran, as a result of the government through  these programs, the development of various sectors of the economy that actually makes them exist in a non-competitive environment, in comparison to private banks.

137-143
Abstract

Defined  problems  caused  by the imperfection of the existing financial reports  of organizations. Identified trends in the preparation of public reports  at the international level. It includes the formation of a report  on sustainable development and integrated reporting. Integrated reporting application’s outlook  defined  for organizations at the regional  level. Suggested  algorithm  of the  forming  adaptive  model  Integrated reporting, which can be used by organizations in the region.

It is shown that the use of this model can lead to positive social and techno-economic effect due to the fact that the linkage integrated reporting organizations in a certain  area gives the most complete  picture  of the circulation  of capital and accrued  this site that can serve as a basis for economic decision-making and implementation regional development strategy, promote public-private partnerships, increased  investment activity.

144-152
Abstract

The task dedicated to the choice  of an optimal set of assets for forming the investment portfolio of insurance company was considered. The methodic for solving it was described. With  the help  of quantile criterion strategy the choice  problem is reduced to the problem of finding  the  necessary profitability and  to the  choice  of risk  assets,  taking into  account legislative restrictions on shares of assets  in the  portfolio, instead of the  choice  of all assets. Cluster analysis  is applied to the  choice  of risk  assets  with  the  demanded combination  of risk and  profitability. An  example of choice  of assets  to the  category «stocks» was represented and  recommendations about a choice  depending on the attitude of insurance company towards risk were  made.

SOCIETY AND ECONOMY: PROBLEMS OF DEVELOPMENT

153-163
Abstract

The article outlines the conceptual model used for development and implementation of territorial expansion  strategy  based  on project  management methodology. It also describes fundamental differences  in the system of project  management for developed and promising territories of the  organization. The  authors suggest  a methodological approach to the  assessment of attractiveness related to the  territorial market developed by the  organization. The approach is based on integral assessment of opportunities: market growth, product (services) profitability and return on assets, investment attractiveness of the territory, social and  image  factors, potential level of instability of the external environment on the developed territory.

164-172
Abstract

The fast growth of the industry of services produces the need for theoretical analysis of influence of this growth on the model of functioning  of economic agents. Many aspects of this influence still remain unexplained. Among these aspects one should cite the influence of the transition towards service economy of the model of formation of company’s productive assets. The goal of the present  research  is to find and to analyze possibilities and risks that  appear  before  companies  in the field of formation of productive assets. In order  to reach this goal I analyzed the economic nature  of service. I demonstrate that the service is a temporary right to use provider’s assets in order  to produce  customer’s  value. This right to use external  assets generates a service lever – the value of assets used by companies  is much  higher than  financial resources these companies have.  Investment are  replaced by current expenses. The  service  lever  allows  companies to attract large  assets  for their economic  activity. The  temporary nature of the right  to use provider’s resources produces the risk that  the  provider may deny  access to these resource to economic and  politic  reasons. Therefore companies should build  a multi-level system  of asset  formation depending of asset’s economic importance, price  and risks.

173-181
Abstract

Prospects of cooperation of the countries of BRICS in the agriculture sphere are analyzed.  Relevance of partnership of the  participating countries on  complex development of the village in the form  of the special  economic zones  which type  can be determined according to road maps  by use of capacity of the rural areas of each territorial subject of theRussian Federationproves. Such  international integration will promote inflow  to regions of rural labor and  investment resources, development of infrastructure of the  village,  allowing the Russian regions to take  leading positions in world  economy.

182-191
Abstract

The  article examines the  current problems of rural areas of the  Russian-Belarusian border area. It draws  attention to the features of transformation of the Russian and  Belarusian countryside in the post-Soviet period. The article evaluates the possibility of further reforming and improving dynamics of rural areas.The general purpose of Russian and Belarusian rural areas transformations is the transition to sustainable development.

192-200
Abstract

The  article considers regularities of structural transformations in conditions of transformation with a view to ensuring economic growth stability as a base  of solving  of social and  economic issues  in the  national economy. The  paper classifies  and  reveals the  notion of structural policy; tasks  of macroeconomic strategy and  institutional transformations at the current  stage of economic  reforms  in the Republic  of Tajikistan. The main effects of structural changes were: attainment of economic  independence by virtue of reduction of import of energy carriers, foodstuff and other products  on the basis of development of import-substituting production; overcome of one-sided raw-material orientation of economy; strengthening of social and economic potential of the country; attraction of investment for carrying out of structural transformations; construction of new enterprises.

201-208
Abstract

The  paper presents results of the  studies focused on development of management of low-height construction market promotion. Consumer market needs grow  and  demands change in the  conditions of the  development of residential property market. Traditional marketing instruments no longer function effectively since  they  don’t  fully procure integration of operative marketing instruments. Models of promotion and  communications, applied in the residential property market, in low-height construction market  in particular, need improvement overall. The article suggests and discusses the authors  scheme of management  of low-height construction market  promotion. Solutions can be used by building contractors, real estate developers, property developers for the purposes  of effective management  of communication activity.

FACTS, APPRAISALS, PERSPECTIVES

209-217
Abstract

The article considers main indicators of scope and efficiency of activity of the worldhotel industry, published in official and unofficial reports and studies: volume of the worldhotel market, service level, room occupancy rate, some others. Data is classified by countries,cities,leadingworldhotelchains.Therepresentedstatisticsshowsthestateofmodernworldhotelindustry(growthratesofhotelindustry,itssustainablepositionputtheindustryintooneoftheleadingplacesintheworldeconomy)andmakesitpossibletoelaboratestrategicdirectionsof development of this sphere

218-225
Abstract

 

Tourism of special  interests in general and  its single  varieties become subject of research in foreign and  local  literature increasingly frequently. However some  theoretical and  methodological issues  remain unsolved up  to  date. The  paper formulates main  approaches to definition of the  «tourism of special  interests» notion. Detailed classification of tourism of special  interests (TSI) by types  is presented. Comprehensive characteristics of the most popular types of tourism of special  interests (adventure tourism, extreme tourism, alcohol tourism, gastronomy tourism, sex tourism etc.) is given. Outlook for the development of the tourism of special  interests is set out.

226-232
Abstract

This  article is aimed to evaluate how  a historical memory influenced current JapanKorea relations. The  main  goal  of this  research is to  determine key  components of the historical memory and ways of its implementation in foreign policy. The issue of historical memory is well-developed both inRussiaand abroad. Over the past decade a lot of papers were devoted to historical memory in Japan-Korea relations. The author supposed that the issue of «overcoming  the past» will be relevant  for Tokyo-Seoul relations  in the future. To solve this problem  the priority should be given to common goals, but not to conflicts.

PHILOSOPHY, EXTERNAL RELATIONS, LAW

233-242
Abstract

The article refers to Shvittau, the scientist who was engaged in analytical and practical work  in the  branch of statistics. Economic statistics studies kept  his interest in «cultural history». The  idea  of «international corporation», «international rapprochement» is the commonness that  can be appealed to and  acted  for. It has high semantic  potential and pragmatic  adaptivity  – in relation  to various times, people. The idea of «world economy» is considered by Shvittau at the level of ideal model, as value and normative consent.

243-250
Abstract

The  article presents the  results of the  comparative analysis  of regulatory status of a group of tourist activity  agents – tourist organizations ofRussiaandKazakhstan. The subject matter is normative means (statutory conditions) and  authorities (agents) of governing of activity  in the tourist sector of the two countries. Three aspects of the declared subject are considered: similarity between  regulatory status of tourist organizations ofRussiaand  Kazakhstan; differences  in their  legal status; general  assessment  of advantages and disadvantages of both  situations.  It is shown that tourist  regulation mechanisms  are very close typologically in these countries. Differences are of «phase» gap or lead nature  in one course of development. Use of instruments of tourism  statutory regulation applied  in theRepublic ofKazakhstancan improve efficiency of this activity inRussia.

251-256
Abstract

The  article analyzes economic and  political processes that  took place  in Russia in the early  1990s and  led to merger of organized crime,  authorities and  business, formation of the  brand new  criminality type. The  notion of elite  corruption is suggested – an element of intrusive-destructive-mimetic criminality that  naturally found way into  the  system  of economic, legal, financial and  other relations, invulnerable to efforts of law enforcement authorities. Elite corruption threat to national security of the state is shown.

257-264
Abstract

Gender ideology in the  Japanese society  is considered, main  features of the  gender system  inJapanare  named. It is the  purpose of the  article to analyze features of gender relations in conditions of transition from  traditional (very  rigid)  society  to their modern type  set by the western civilization. Male  and female stereotypes in patriarchal traditional society  ofJapanand those main trends that  transform roles of men and women in the modern world  are set out and discussed.

264-278
Abstract

The  article is devoted to  the  Grand Duchy of Lithuania’s legislation modernization that  was  conducted in the  middle of the  XVI  century, as a significant milestone of the juridical history of the  medievalEurope. The  legislative modernization was an important element of the  overall modernization of economic, administrative, and  political relations in this large  European state.

This  article examines prerequisites and  sources of the  modernization, as well as describes  its key features. The article lays special  emphasis on the creation of the Lithuanian Statute of 1566. This event represents an example of an implementation of advanced religious and legal ideas of that time, based on foreign legal structures adaptation and being supported by domestic legislative experience.

279-287
Abstract

The article investigates the meaning of «nothing» in the context of human ontology on the example of two versions of existential philosophy (J.-P. Sartre and M. Heidegger). The author analyzes the concept of nothing in the framework of existential ontology, because it involves  the study of the ontological concepts of «what»  and «nothing», «being»  and «nonexistence» in their relation to the  anthropological concept of «who». The  author explains the  anthropological meaning of  «nothing», explores the  role  played by  the  concept of «nothing» in the interpretation of man  and his freedom, proposed by these philosophers.

BUSINESS INFORMATICS

288-303
Abstract

The article  presents  the characteristics of global and domestic  IT markets  and states problem  the lack of ICT specialists as for the developed countries  and for certain  regions ofRussia. It proves the necessity of programs of ICT Represents the module system education  inNovosibirskas necessary measures to reduce the  lack of ICT  specialists. The  third version of the  European framework of ICT  competences and  system  of its information support are  described in the  article. The  article proves necessity of further development of this system. The  extension of existing  system  of information support and  target groups of users  are  described in this  article.Use case  diagrams determine the  functionality and system  behavior.The modules of the  system  are  represented. Keywords: IT  market, ICT specialist, additional education, European framework of ICT  competences, training programs, information system  design.

THEORETICAL SEARCH AND OFFERS

304-315
Abstract

The article considers features of historical process from a perspective of sociosynergetics with regard  to categories  of probability and chance. Special attention is given to factors of stability and instability in historical development. The role of factor of temporality in transformations of social development is shown. Alternative of historical development and specifics of its assessment  are demonstrated. Consideration of probability and chance from position of complex social systems assumes correlation between  parts of the complex system that is not only self-organized but self-developed as well.

316-321
Abstract

The  article lists principles necessary for establishment of a socially  owned enterprise. The proportions of physical  and intellectual workers at home enterprise are specified. Restriction to the  highest level  of management and  specifics  of management of the  socially owned enterprise are shown. The notion of the production at the socially owned enterprise is given.  Principles of organization of production and  types  of manufacturing losses  are shown. Performance features at the socially  owned enterprise are set out.

322-330
Abstract

Turing test  is considered with  regard to rampant development of computer and  network  technologies. Notions of context artificial intelligence, artificial intelligence of a certain  level and absolute artificial intelligence are introduced. Argument s for the capability of a machine to pass  the  test  not  only  because of its upgrade but  by virtue of change of interaction between man  and  machine (outsourcing of intellectual functions of man) together with decrease of human intellect level  are  made. Possible outcomes of creation of absolute artificial intelligence are projected and test for it is offered.



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ISSN 2073-6495 (Print)